The New Zealand government announce the 2015 Budget today. Scheduled at 0200GMT

The budget is unlikely to have much of an impact on the NZD

NZ is on track towards a budget surplus and this path is expected to be maintained. Timing may be pushed out a little, though. It would seem unlikely that a surplus will be achieved by June 30.

The latest Treasury forecast is for a deficit of $NZ572m (this is from December 2014 forecasts)

Factors weighing on the NZ economy, and which will impact on budget revenue, are:

  • Continued dairy prices fall (around 6 years lows)
  • Slower growth in NZ's biggest export destinations of Australia and China