The next supposed "deadline" is Sunday, June 14:
The IMF left negotiations in Brussels today in a tiff.
The 'three intuitions' (formerly known as the Troika) are demanding reforms on taxes, financing and term. The IMF said without pension cuts, the numbers don't add up, Tsipras considers pension cuts a deal breaker.
A supposed meeting between Juncker and Tsipras today was a "last attempt to make a deal possible". They were quiet and constructive leaving the meeting. Juncker said the discussion with Tsipras was "important, interesting and friendly" so there's some good news.
With politicians there is so much grandstanding it's tough to get a read. I'm curious about what you think.
So two questions:
- How likely do you think a deal is?
- What probability do you think markets assign to a deal?
