It always goes badly when you get cocky

It's one thing to bet wrong, it's another to emphatically go against the consensus and trumpet your supposed wisdom.

I don't know much about horse racing but I had a very strong suspicion a Triple Crown winner was due after reading this article.

"When all of the failed Triple Crown bids during this 37-year drought are examined together -- 12 of them to be exact -- the magnitude of the gambling public's foolishness is breathtaking."