US second quarter economic growth data is due on 27 July at 1230GMT

  • expected (median consensus) is 4.3% y/y

But some are ratcheting up much higher than that. Barclays, for example is at 5%,

  • looking for a big number given the "late-cycle fiscal boost" from the government

Morgan Stanley, too, they are at 4.7%

  • citing an "unusually large number of one-off factors … many of which are directly related to escalating trade concerns"

Citi is at 4.6%

Nomura 4.6%

  • mostly driven by solid contributions from personal consumption, non-residential fixed investment, and government consumption

Of course, if the average is 4.3% there are those below there also …. K?