LONDON (MNI) – Below is a poll of analysts’ forecasts for the UK
labour market report, due out on Wednesday, Feb 16 and the February CBI
industrial trends survey, due out at 1100 GMT on Thursday, Feb 17.
[[
! ! ! !Dec ! ! !Feb !
! !Jan !Dec !Core !Dec ! !CBI !
!Jan !Claimant!Avg !Avg !ILO !Dec !Monthly!
!Claimant!Count !Weekly !Weekly !Jobless!ILO !Ind. !
!Count !Jobless !Earnings!Earnings!Change !Jobless!Trends !
!Change !Rate !% ch !% ch !000s !Rate !Orders !
!000s !% !3m-y/y !3m-y/y !3m/3m !% !Balance!
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Median
f’cast -5.0 4.5 2.0 2.3 25.0 7.9 -10
High f’cast 10.0 4.5 2.3 2.4 52.0 8.0 -1
Low f’cast -10.0 -4.7 1.8 2.3 25.0 7.9 -14
Previous -4.1 4.5 2.1 2.3 49.0 7.9 -16
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Number
responses 18 17 16 11 3 12 10
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4Cast -5.0 4.5 2.0 n/a n/a 7.9 n/a
ABN Amro -6.0 4.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a -5
Action Econ n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Barclays n/a -4.7 2.0 2.3 n/a 7.9 -10
BNP Paribas -10.0 4.5 2.3 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Capital Ec. 0.0 4.5 1.9 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Citi -2.0 4.5 n/a n/a 52.0 7.9 -10
Commerzbank 2.0 n/a 1.9 n/a n/a 7.9 n/a
Deutsche -5.0 4.5 1.9 2.3 25.0 n/a -12
Global In. -3.0 4.5 2.1 2.3 n/a 7.9 -14
ING -5.0 4.5 2.1 2.4 n/a 7.9 -14
Investec -1.1 4.5 1.8 n/a n/a n/a n/a
JP Morgan -6.0 4.5 1.9 2.3 n/a 8.0 -1
Lloyds TSB -5.0 n/a 2.0 2.3 25.0 n/a n/a
NAB 10.0 4.5 2.0 2.3 n/a 8.0 -5
Nomura -5.7 4.5 2.0 2.3 n/a 7.9 n/a
RBS 3.5 4.5 n/a n/a n/a 8.0 n/a
SocGen -5.0 4.5 1.8 2.3 n/a 7.9 n/a
Sumitomo M. -5.0 4.5 2.0 2.3 n/a n/a -10
UBS -5.0 4.5 2.0 2.4 n/a 7.9 n/a
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For further information contact David Robinson 0207 862 7491 or
e-mail: drobinson@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$B$$$,MABDS$]