Retail sales highlights:

  • Largest increase in a year but fourth consecutive reading below expectations
  • Prior revised to -0.5% vs -0.6% previously
  • Control group +0.3% vs +0.5% expected
  • Prior control group 0.0% (revised to -0.2%)
  • Ex autos +0.4% vs +0.7% exp
  • Prior ex autos -0.1% (unrevised)
  • Ex autos and gas +0.5% vs +0.6% exp

More details:

  • Furniture +1.4%,
  • Building materials +2.1%
  • Clothing +1.2%
  • Healthcare +0.3%

The US dollar is down around 50 pips right across the board. The kneejerk continues to extend, with the high so far in EUR/USD at 1.0633.

The question is, when to buy the dollar dip? I'm looking at 1.0620 in EUR/USD or 1.0700.

Is this really so bad?

US retail sales control group

We knew the winter was harsh so some weakness isn't a surprise and the report didn't miss by that much.