When will equities bottom? Here is one approach to take...

Author: Giles Coghlan | Category: News

Answering the unanswerable,

Ok, no-one knows when the equity market will bottom, but it is worth doing a quick comparison to the 2008-2009 financial crisis to look for clues. One place to look at is the Volatilty Index. 

What is the VIX?

Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions

The "fear index' is helpful to look at, because it is often when people feel less fearful that they step back into the equity market.  

Look at the SP500
Nikkei 225

Look at the FTSE 100

FTSE100 Look at the Nikkei

Nikkei
So, in answering the question , 'when have stocks bottomed', remember the VIX. It may very well provide the guidance for when a bottom in the equity market is finally in and when a sensible time to buy is.

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