Headlines:
- BOE surprises with 50 bps rate hike, bringing bank rate to 5.00%
- Sterling jumps initially on BOE surprise but gains look limited
- SNB raises policy rate by 25 bps to 1.75%, as expected
- SNB's Jordan: We cannot rule out further monetary policy tightening
- SNB's Jordan: The view that policy would be better by not tightening today is false
- BOJ's Noguchi: Exchange rate should move stably reflecting fundamentals
- France June business confidence 100 vs 100 prior
- Japan maintains overall economic assessment for the month of June
Markets:
- GBP leads, AUD lags on the day
- European equities lower; S&P 500 futures down 0.3%
- US 10-year yields up 2.7 bps to 3.75%
- Gold down 0.4% to $1,926.04
- WTI crude down 2.1% to $70.99
- Bitcoin flat at $29,983
It was all about central banks today but the BOE stole the spotlight with a somewhat surprising 50 bps move to bring the bank rate to 5.00%.
The more hawkish move came after the hotter than expected UK inflation report yesterday, which suggests that the BOE is taking on the issue with a 'go big or go home' approach. On the one hand, it speaks to their commitment and credibility in tackling inflation. On the other, such persistence could end up breaking something along the way in the economy.
For now, the pound got a brief jump on the decision with GBP/USD moving up from 1.2780 to 1.2835 before giving all of that back. I outlined some reasons for that move here and that post details better how markets are feeling right now just after the suprise.
The SNB was also on the agenda but the 25 bps rate hike there was rather straightforward and the communique was consistent with what markets were expecting. The franc is little changed as a result with USD/CHF sitting around 0.8940-50 currently with the dollar also keeping steady.
There isn't much appetite among major currencies so far today but keep an eye out on a further risk rotation in broader markets. There has been a consistent theme of equities selling this week and things look to be continuing today as well. Some food for thought here.
