• Expects 2022 to be a tough year for the global economy
  • The economic horizon has 'darkened' since the last round of IMF forecasts

I would say the more immediate threat of recession risks perhaps lies with Europe and the UK.

The former has to battle against surging inflation alongside sky-rocketing energy costs amid the fallout of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Meanwhile, the latter has to deal with rising cost pressures with the cost-of-living crisis squeezing households.

It's not going to be easy to navigate but the outlook is certainly less optimistic than it was at the start of the year. That is not to say other countries are exempt from recession risks, and that includes the US.