A poll from IFOP shows that Macron will likely beat any of the opposition parties in a runoff.
- Macron 24.5%
- Le Pen 16.5%
- Zemmour 16%
- Pecesse 15%
That's a tight race to see who will be in the second-round runoff with Macron on April 24.
The poll asked about second-round intentions and Macron won them all with at least 56% and at most 62.5% of the vote.
It's important to put Ukraine into context here as well. Macron is working to look like a statesman lately and that's a classic move to boost voter support. He's also surely cognizant that driving up gas or oil prices via Russian sanctions right before the vote would be a big risk for him.