I posted earlier on National Australia Bank expecting the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut to 0.75% this year:
Adding a couple more fresh calls today:
- RBC forecast the RBA to 0.5%, by May of 2020 (cuts in August 2019, Feb and May 2020)
- Macquarie also have a 0.5% cash rate expected in 2020
RBC citing:
- Australian underemployment rate elevated, just 0.5% under below its historical high
- Labour market slack is ample
- A sustained period of above-trend growth and above-average employment generation is needed
- Global developments also key, with the risk of a shift easier in the policy stance of global central banks, especially G7