Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher Waller
- 'Still no rush' to cutting rates in current economy
- Fed may need to maintain current rate target for longer than expected
- Needs to see more inflation progress before supporting rate cut
- Needs at least a couple of months of data to be sure inflation heading to 2%
- Still expects Fed to cut rates later this year
- Economy’s strength gives Fed space to take stock of data
- Data suggests fewer rate cuts possible this year
- Economy is growing at a healthy pace
- Despite progress on inflation, recent data has been disappointing
- Data has showed mixed messages on jobs front
- Fed has made a lot of progress lowering inflation
- Wage pressures have been easing
- Unsure productivity will keep at current strong pace
I posted last weekend on the bombshell from Bostic:
And I've reposted it and linked to it a number of times. It fits with comments from Kashkari back at the beginning of this month:
And markets are beginning to be swayed:
FOMC members are beginning to pile in on 'higher for longer' and 'fewer cuts in 2024'. I hear the regular excuses:
- <insert name here ... Bostic, Waller, Kashkari(!)> is a hawk, of course (s)he'd say that
But if you are holding on to a June rate cut call, or for 3 rate cuts this year my advice is to stick it where you stuck the call for 6 (sometimes 7!) rate cuts that plagued us early in the new year.