Economic Industry Services
Morale Morale Morale
– January – – January – – January –

Median Forecast 93.9 -6.3 -1.3
High forecast 95.2 -5.0 0.0
Low forecast 92.7 -7.3 -2.0
Previous period

Number of responses 8 6 4

Barclays Cap. n/a -6.0 n/a
Capital Economics 94.5 n/a n/a
Citi 93.8 -7.3 n/a
DZ Bank 92.7 n/a n/a
ING 93.7 -6.5 -1.6
Natixis 94.5 -6.0 0.0
Soc. Generale 95.2 -5.0 -1.0
UBS 94.0 -6.8 -2.0
Unicredit 93.6 n/a n/a

Unemployment HICP (flash)
– December – – January –
rate (%)

Median Forecast 10.4 2.7
High forecast 10.4 3.0
Low forecast 10.3 2.4
Previous period 10.3 2.7

Number of responses 13 16

4Cast n/a 2.7
Barclays Cap. 10.4 2.7
BNP Paribas 10.4 2.7
BoA-ML 10.3 2.8
Capital Economics 10.3 2.7
Citi 10.4 2.8
Commerzbank n/a 2.4
DZ Bank n/a 2.6
ING 10.3 2.6
LBBW 10.4 2.6
Natixis 10.4 2.9
Soc. Generale 10.4 2.8
Standard Chartered 10.4 2.8
UBS 10.3 3.0
Unicredit 10.3 2.6

Producer Prices Retail Sales
– November – – December –
%mom %yoy %mom %yoy

Median Forecast -0.1 4.3 0.3 -1.5
High forecast 0.4 4.9 0.5 -1.2
Low forecast -0.2 0.0 0.1 -1.6
Previous period 0.2 5.3 -0.8 -2.5

Number of responses 8 8 7 3

4Cast -0.1 4.3 n/a n/a
BNP Paribas -0.1 4.4 n/a n/a
Capital Economics -0.2 4.2 n/a n/a
Citi -0.2 4.3 0.1 n/a
DZ Bank n/a n/a 0.3 n/a
ING n/a n/a 0.5 -1.5
LBBW 0.0 n/a n/a n/a
Soc. Generale n/a n/a 0.3 -1.2
Standard Chartered 0.1 4.6 0.3 -1.6
UBS n/a 0.0 0.2 n/a
Unicredit n/a n/a 0.2 n/a
West LB 0.4 4.9 n/a n/a

Spain PMI Italy PMI
– January – – January –
mfg svc mfg svc

Median Forecast 44.8 43.0 45.3 45.0
High forecast 45.0 44.0 45.9 46.0
Low forecast 44.3 42.5 44.4 44.2
Previous period

Number of responses 4 4 6 6

Barclays Cap. 45.0 44.0 45.5 46.0
DZ Bank n/a n/a 44.9 45.0
ING 44.3 42.5 44.4 44.2
Natixis 44.7 43.0 45.0 45.0
UBS 44.8 43.0 45.9 46.0
Unicredit n/a n/a 45.7 44.5
———————————————————————–
* Median is based on above forecasts and is not intended to represent
a consensus.

The survey was conducted on Friday, January 27.

[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$GDS$,M$G$$$,M$XDS$,M$X$$$]