• Despite “upbeat” economic data dampened by the March non-farm payrolls
  • Feels the weaker labour market data is transitory, productivity may have recently “slumped”
  • Too soon to say that the US economy is “out of the woods”
  • Expects Q1 2012 GDP growth to be 2.25%
  • Sees overall inflation “moderating” later in 2012
  • 8.2% unemployment is still “unacceptably” high
  • NY’s economic recovery is gaining some momentum

Let’s see what next month’s NFP reading comes in at, think unemployment is going to remain a problem for a few months yet.